September’s Reckoning: A Forecast of Baseball’s Final Act
September Pennant Race Outlook
Detroit Tigers Chase The Top Seed
Skubal Sets The Tone — An MVP Case From The Mound

Detroit Tigers starting pitcher Casey Mize throws during the first inning of a baseball game against the New York Mets, Wednesday, Sept. 3, 2025, in Detroit. (AP Photo/Ryan Sun)
Hinch And Detroit’s Lineage — From Mayo Smith To Sparky
A Thread Restored — From Kaline And Lolich To Trammell And Gibson
Texas Rangers Wild Card Push
If The Arms Hold — Texas Can Shock

Texas Rangers starting pitcher Jacob deGrom throws to the Houston Astros in the first inning of a baseball game Saturday, Sept. 6, 2025, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
Jacob deGrom has endured, having delivered over 140 innings—his most since 2019. If he can ride it out, mix in a resurgent Patrick Corbin, rookie Jack Leiter boasting a 2.84 ERA post-All-Star break (fourth-best WAR among AL pitchers), and if Nathan Eovaldi returns and dominates, it is conceivable that—as they did in 2023, making it in by their fingertips, shepherded by four-time World Series champion manager Bruce Bochy—the Rangers could take the entire AL again by surprise. If Corey Seager returns from his Aug. 28 appendectomy and they get in, look out.
Houston Astros — Getting Healthy At The Right Time

Houston Astros’ Jose Altuve (27) and Yordan Alvarez (44) celebrate after a baseball game against the Los Angeles Angels Monday, Sept. 1, 2025, in Houston. (AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
The bullpen could be fortified if closer Josh Hader returns from a left shoulder strain. Bryan Abreu has done a wonderful job in relief.
Toronto Blue Jays Contact And Table Setters

Toronto Blue Jays players and fans celebrate after a three-run home run by George Springer against the Boston Red Sox during the fifth inning of a baseball game at Fenway Park, Monday, Aug. 26, 2024, in Boston. (AP Photo/Charles Krupa)
Bo Bichette leads the AL in hits (181), Alejandro Kirk has posted a .284 average since the break, and Ernie Clement continues to be a quiet spark plug.
Ninth Inning Questions — Toronto’s Unsettled Closer
Boston Red Sox Youth Movement Ahead Of Schedule
Arms Growing Up Fast — Crochet, Giolito, Bello, & May
Why Boston Over New York — Cora’s Edge, Defense Still a Question
Fenway Weekend And The Psychology Of A Rivalry

Boston Red Sox’s Trevor Story celebrates after his home run during the sixth inning of a baseball game against the Cleveland Guardians, Monday, Sept. 1, 2025, in Boston. (AP Photo/Mark Stockwell)
Boston has already proven it. Heading into this weekend, the Red Sox hold a commanding 7–1 lead in the season series against the Yankees, winning both home and away, outscoring them by double digits, and controlling the tempo. They’ve already clinched the season series. That kind of dominance isn’t just a stat line—it’s a psychological wedge. But the final chapter hasn’t been written. They meet again this weekend at Fenway, September 12–14, in a series that may carry not just wild-card weight, but divisional implications if Toronto fades. And if either club dominates, it could be a jab in the arm heading into a potential October rematch. Boston won’t be hoping to win. They’ll be expecting to. But expectation cuts both ways.
Chapman Changes The Ninth In Boston
Yankees Legacy Meets Modern Drought
Los Angeles Dodgers Rotation Ready — Bullpen Uncertain
A Closer Idea For October
San Diego Padres Window And Injuries
Chicago Cubs Stop And Go Offense
Cubs Rotation And Bullpen Reality
Milwaukee Brewers Built For October
Brewers Running Game And Timely Bats

Milwaukee Brewers’ Jackson Chourio (11) steals second base past New York Mets’ Luisangel Acuña during the first inning of a baseball game Saturday, Sept. 28, 2024, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
Jackson Chourio is dynamic and improving, now batting .275 with 19 homers and 21 steals—on the verge of a 20–20 season. Christian Yelich has rediscovered himself—not quite MVP-level, but productive, patient, and clutch (27 HR, 93 RBI, .814 OPS). Their batting average with runners in scoring position (.281) is elite. Late-inning success rate: top percentile. They don’t chase distance—they chase rhythm. Contact, movement, and clutch execution—the very qualities Roy White lamented when I interviewed him recently as missing in today’s game.
Brewers Defense And Run Prevention
Brewers Arms — October Roles
Philadelphia Phillies — Heavy At The Top
And of course, the Phillies. This might be their last-chance saloon. Kyle Schwarber is a pending free agent. He’ll likely finish with well over 50 homers, but he’s feast-or-famine. To his credit, he takes walks and presents selective aggression. His .924 OPS vs. righties is impressive, though just below his .926 overall. The Phillies are top-heavy. If Schwarber, Harper, and Turner aren’t producing, they’re vulnerable. Not a great defensive team, though Harrison Bader now patrols center field and Brandon Marsh is serviceable in left.
Pitching Without Wheeler — Duran Stabilizes The Ninth
Jhoan Duran, acquired midseason, has 28 saves and a 1.86 ERA—finally giving the Phillies a ninth-inning anchor. His 70 strikeouts over 63 innings, paired with a 1.11 WHIP and 3.9 BB/9, reflect both power and volatility, but he’s been the stabilizer they lacked. Cristopher Sánchez, Jesús Luzardo, and Ranger Suárez form a quality triad. But Zack Wheeler is out for the season, and Aaron Nola—despite throwing a doozy the other day—still carries a 6.24 ERA. If Philadelphia is to make a deep run, it likely hinges on Nola rediscovering his confidence and command. They may win the East, but their offense can be pitched to, and their rotation—young, uneven, and now missing its ace—may not weather three playoff rounds without a vintage Nola.
New York Mets Close But Not Quite
The Mets are close, but not quite.
Juan Soto’s power numbers are there—12 HR, 33 RBI since Aug. 1, .287 AVG, .409 OBP, .534 SLG—but not MVP-level. His .921 OPS and top-10 walk rate don’t justify the King’s ransom Steve Cohen is paying. And yet, if Soto delivers in October—if he anchors a postseason run, flips a series, or stamps a moment—it will prove two things: that the regular season no longer carries the weight it once did, and that at least a portion of that massive check paid dividends when it mattered most. Mark Vientos, moved to the 3-hole, is producing (.276 AVG, 10 HR, 29 RBI over the last 42 games). Francisco Álvarez is back from injury (5 HR, 15 RBI, .359 OBP, .507 SLG, .866 OPS over the last 27 games). But Pete Alonso is batting just .213 with runners in scoring position, and Francisco Lindor’s production has not been transcendent. Since the All-Star break, Lindor is hitting .265 with 11 home runs and a .791 OPS—respectable, but not catalytic. If Alonso and Lindor don’t get going, the Mets won’t be a true NL pennant contender. Soto can anchor, Vientos can surge, Álvarez can steady—but without their core stars producing in October, the ceiling lowers.
On Thursday, Jesús Luzardo retired the final 22 Mets, Bryce Harper drove in two, and Jhoan Duran needed just 11 pitches for three Ks to seal loss No. 6 in a row.
Rookie Rotation — McLean, Tong, Sproat
The rookie rotation trio—Nolan McLean (4–1, 1.42 ERA, 0.95 WHIP), Jonah Tong (1.18 WHIP, funky delivery), and Brandon Sproat (97 mph fastball, five-pitch mix, 1.17 WHIP)—is promising but untested. If they fulfill their potential, maybe the echoes of Gooden, Darling, and Fernandez from the 1986 Mets will be unmistakable. That trio carried the franchise to its second—and still most recent—World Series title, now approaching its 40th anniversary.
Remembering Davey Johnson
Poignantly, the man who managed that run from the dugout, Davey Johnson, passed away on Sept. 6, 2025, at age 82. While it was Frank Cashen who orchestrated the roster, it was Davey who conducted the clubhouse—bench boss, strategist, and players’ manager.
A fine ballplayer himself, Johnson understood rhythm, trust, and timing. In my interview with Doc Gooden, he called Davey his “second father.”
That sentiment wasn’t metaphor—it was marrow. Johnson empowered young stars while maintaining excellence, transforming the Mets into champions. If this new rotation delivers, it won’t just be a statistical revival—it’ll be a spiritual one.
Kodai Senga is in Triple-A rebuilding mechanics. Tyler Megill is on the IL. Clay Holmes is showing signs of fatigue. Defensively, the Mets rank 10th in MLB with a .987 fielding percentage—solid, if not spectacular. Lindor remains elite at short, Álvarez is a standout behind the plate, and Tyrone Taylor covers ground in center.

El lanzador de los Mets de Nueva York Edwin Díaz reacciona al ponchar a Aaron Judge de los Yankees de Nueva York en la novena entrada el sábado 17 de mayo del 2025. (AP Foto/Noah K. Murray)
They’re better than the Yankees in this area, but not quite in the Royals-Rangers tier. Edwin Díaz’s slider is back—14.8 K/9, with a 1.83 ERA and 0.96 WHIP over 54 innings.
Mets Call Up No 5 Prospect Brandon Sproat For Debut and Kodai Senga Agrees To Demotion
Defense And The Díaz Bridge
The bridge to Díaz is sturdy in name, but not without cracks: Ryan Stanek owns a 5.36 ERA and 1.65 WHIP over 48 innings, with six blown saves and a recent outing (Sept. 6) where he allowed two earned runs in a third of an inning. A.J. Minter, before landing on the 60-day IL, posted a 1.64 ERA and 1.00 WHIP across 11 innings, but his availability remains uncertain. The bullpen ERA of 3.97 ranks 13th in MLB—respectable, but not dominant. If Díaz is to close games in October, the Mets must first find a way to get him the ball with a lead.
Early September Postseason Projections
American League
Wild Card Series
(3) Houston Astros vs. (6) Seattle Mariners
(4) New York Yankees vs. (5) Boston Red Sox
Division Series
(1) Detroit Tigers vs. Red Sox
(2) Toronto Blue Jays vs. Astros
ALCS
Tigers over Astros
American League Champion
Detroit Tigers
National League
Wild Card Series
(3) Los Angeles Dodgers vs. (6) New York Mets
(4) Chicago Cubs vs. (5) San Diego Padres
Division Series
(1) Milwaukee Brewers vs. Padres
(2) Philadelphia Phillies vs. Dodgers
NLCS
Brewers over Dodgers
National League Champion
Milwaukee Brewers
World Series Pick
Milwaukee Brewers over Detroit Tigers
The Brewers win it all—their franchise’s first World Championship. And how fitting it would be—not just for baseball’s cadence, but for the Midwestern heartland. In an era so often defined by bicoastal dominance and algorithmic spotlight, let Wisconsin rejoice. Let the center of the country, too often overlooked, claim its October—even if the coronation comes in November.
And if the Packers build on that momentum and return the Lombardi Trophy to Title Town, then 2025 won’t just be a season of success. It’ll be a year—stretching into the next—when Wisconsin stood tallest: on the diamond, on the gridiron, and in the rhythm of sport itself. Spoken, no less, by a NY Giants-and-Yankees man.








