If you are wondering what the landscape of baseball will look like during the looming work stoppage that will begin in Major League Baseball at midnight on Dec. 1, look back about 20 years to the 2004-05 lockout in the National Hockey League.
When the NHL's owners locked out the players on Sept. 16, 2004 as they sought a salary cap, the NHL's teams could no longer control where their contracted players decided to ply their trade during the lockout.
That meant that 388 players - most of them European, but some of them not - crossed the Atlantic to play in Russia, Sweden, Finland, Germany, Switzerland, and Czechia. Others stayed in North America and played in junior leagues or the affiliated minor leagues, either in their hometowns, near their NHL clubs, or where they had friends or siblings playing.
Barring a miraculous agreement on how MLB owners and the members of the union representing the league's players, the Major League Baseball Players Association, reaching an agreement on a new collective bargaining agreement, the lockout will begin at midnight on Dec. 1, plunging baseball's top league into darkness.
Of course, there will still be baseball being played, including by MLB players, during the lockout. When Dec. 1 rolls around, the four big winter leagues, the Dominican Republic's LIDOM, Puerto Rico's LBPRC, Venezuela's Liga Venezolana de Beisbol Profesional, and Mexico's Liga Mexicana del Pacifico, which are governed by the Confederacion de Beisbol Profesional del Caribe will be just past the midway point of their respective seasons. Every winter, MLB players make cameo appearances in those leagues, and while the current CBA is in force, teams can seek to limit the participation of players on the 40-man roster.
But once the lockout begins, it's a free-for-all. Last week, MLB's Deputy Commissioner of Baseball Administration and Chief Legal Officer Dan Halem circulated a 34-page memo that leaked to The Athletic and other media outlets specifying what contacts team are and are not allowed to do with regards to their players during a lockout.
"Major League Baseball," The Athletic's Evan Drellich reported the memo as saying, "will not try to stop players from playing in other professional sports leagues during a lockout, including for winter ball."
So buckle up.
If you're a fan of winter ball, expect things to get wild once the MLB owners bolt the doors. Under normal circumstances, MLB teams can generally nix a player's participation in winter ball unless they are playing in their home country, and under the terms of the Winter League Agreement, teams can limit a player's participation. But once the lockout begins, teams won't stop players from playing in the winter leagues.
