There are two clear favorites to win the National League Rookie of the Year Award: starting pitcher Paul Skenes of the Pittsburgh Pirates and outfielder Jackson Merrill of the San Diego Padres.
Skenes, just 22 years old, is having a tremendous rookie year, striking out 11.5 batters per nine innings. Skenes is the betting favorite to win the award, but the American League Rookie of the Year Award race is much tighter. All four players in contention for the award reside in the AL East, and two of them are battery mates.
Wilyer Abreu, OF, Boston Red Sox
While he has put together an unexpectedly good season for the Red Sox, it does not seem likely Abreu will be able to surpass the other three players on this list with less than a week of games remaining.
Abreu has pop, as evidenced by his 15 home runs and 33 doubles, tied for 24th in Major League Baseball this season. Fifty of his 100 hits this season have been for extra bases, including two triples. Despite his excellent gap-to-gap power, Abreu must work on his plate discipline. He ranks in the 18th percentile for whiff rate per Baseball Savant, which tracks a player’s tendency to swing and miss.
The Red Sox are in the process of what they hope will be a relatively short rebuild and will use Abreu as a building block to help them reach contender status in the AL East division. He is not arbitration-eligible until 2027 and will reach free agency for the first time in 2030.
Austin Wells, C, New York Yankees
Selected out of the University of Arizona in 2020, Wells received doubt from many that he would not pan out as an above-average defensive catcher at the MLB level. But something had to change after the Red Sox set a franchise record with nine stolen bases in one game against Wells’ teammate Jose Trevino on June 16 at Fenway Park.
Since then, Wells has stepped up as the Yankees’ starting catcher and has done nothing but impress. His .233 batting average may not turn heads, but his power and ability to frame pitches, a stat Savant ranks him in the 96th percentile, are huge for the Yankees. If the 25-year-old can improve upon a .524 OPS against lefties, he will be someone manager Aaron Boone hates to keep out of the lineup, even during the dog days of summer when he needs a day off.
Wells would be a favorite to win the AL Rookie of the Year Award any other year. However, his teammate and an outfielder from a division rival made themselves known this season.

